Published May 5, 2020

Shelter In Place Statistics - San Mateo County

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Written by Kevin Pickett

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Things are not as bad as they seem in our local real estate market!


Hello Family, Clients, and Friends,

We sincerely hope that you're staying present, grounded, and strong during this bizarre time.  We've been doing our best to serve our clients as best we can from our remote locations.  Our real estate offices are still closed, even though real estate has been deemed an essential service (with restrictions).  

There is a ton of negativity on the news right now, and everyone seems to be an economic and or medical expert regarding the Coronavirus and when it would be best to re-open our economy.  It's difficult to organize information and many people seem to be in significant disagreement regarding the "Shelter in Place" orders and how it's going to affect our economy and overall health moving forward.  

I saw a blog article written today by a realtor on the Mid-Peninsula who has a relatively large social media following.  I felt that the article was very misleading, so I was inspired to write this article to you!  His article basically showed that the real estate market is being crippled by the Shelter in Place orders.  It included a graph showing a number line that was plummeting.  What was actually plummeting was the number of sales taking place, and the total sales volume of the real estate that was sold, not the average or median home sales prices.  The average and median home sales prices are far more indicative of what your real estate values are doing, not sales volume or units sold.    

Here is six months of average real estate sales prices in San Mateo County for Single Family, Condo, and Townhouse style properties.  My graph was cut-off at the bottom.  These prices are in the 1.6M-$1.7M range.

By looking at the graph above, you can see that average sales price in San Mateo County is relatively stable.  We saw a bit of a drop in April, but March was up from January and February.  In our market these are relatively average fluctuations, and while they're fun to look at, they're not showing a huge increase or reduction either way.  

Many listings are still receiving multiple offers.  Caitlin wrote an offer for a property last week that fetched 13 offers!  Just yesterday, the rules have changed to where we're allowed to show owner-occupied homes and tenant-occupied homes with restrictions.  In April, this was not the case.  We were only allowed to show vacant properties, and buyers, and realtors are required to sign disclosures before entering into the home.  The rules are literally changing every day.  Luckily at Keller Williams Peninsula Estates we're backed by Broker Resource Law Group in Southern California.  They're one of the foremost legal authorities for real estate in the state of California. 

Now here's another chart below that's not so encouraging.  This shows the number of overall sales that took place in the county for the past six months.  This is where you can see a big difference.  Our local economy depends on the sale of real estate for so many different types of occupations and vendors.  Inspectors, title and escrow officers, lenders, realtors, plumbers, painters, electricians, contractors, insurance providers, and appraisers all depend on these sales to take place to fuel the economy.

It's important to understand that due to the Shelter in Place orders, real estate has slowed in the month of April dramatically.  April is typically one of our busiest months of the year, but this doesn't mean prices are free-falling.  We're seeing stable prices and serious buyers looking for new homes.  There are just way less homes for sale during what's normally our busiest time of the year.

If there's anything we can do to support you, or anyone in your network, we would love the opportunity to earn your business!  

Please stay healthy!

With Peace and Love!

Kevin Pickett and Caitlin Beanan

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